后方油库整体生存概率分析计算

针对我军后方油库特点,探讨了油库整体生存概率计算的基本思路和方法,分析了各类分项目标生存概率的计算方法,采用层次分析对后方油库各分项目标权值进行了详细分析计算,可为后方油库伪装防护效能评估提供依据。     

Effectiveness of (R,Q) policies in one‐warehouse multiretailer systems with deterministic demand and backlogging

Consider a distribution system with a central warehouse and multiple retailers. Customer demand arrives at each of the retailers continuously at a constant rate. The retailers replenish their inventories from the warehouse which in turn orders from an outside supplier with unlimited stock. There are economies of scale in replenishing the inventories at both the warehouse and the retail level. Stockouts at the retailers are backlogged. The system incurs holding and backorder costs. The objective is to minimize the long‐run average total cost in the system. This paper studies the cost effectiveness of (R, Q) policies in the above system. Under an (R, Q) policy, each facility orders a fixed quantity Q from its supplier every time its inventory position reaches a reorder point R. It is shown that (R, Q) policies are at least 76% effective. Numerical examples are provided to further illustrate the cost effectiveness of (R, Q) policies. © 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 47: 422–439, 2000     

Optimal policies for M/M/m queue with two different kinds of (N,T)‐policies

In this paper, two different kinds of (N, T)‐policies for an M/M/m queueing system are studied. The system operates only intermittently and is shut down when no customers are present any more. A fixed setup cost of K > 0 is incurred each time the system is reopened. Also, a holding cost of h > 0 per unit time is incurred for each customer present. The two (N, T)‐policies studied for this queueing system with cost structures are as follows: (1) The system is reactivated as soon as N customers are present or the waiting time of the leading customer reaches a predefined time T, and (2) the system is reactivated as soon as N customers are present or the time units after the end of the last busy period reaches a predefined time T. The equations satisfied by the optimal policy (N*, T*) for minimizing the long‐run average cost per unit time in both cases are obtained. Particularly, we obtain the explicit optimal joint policy (N*, T*) and optimal objective value for the case of a single server, the explicit optimal policy N* and optimal objective value for the case of multiple servers when only predefined customers number N is measured, and the explicit optimal policy T* and optimal objective value for the case of multiple servers when only predefined time units T is measured, respectively. These results partly extend (1) the classic N or T policy to a more practical (N, T)‐policy and (2) the conclusions obtained for single server system to a system consisting of m (m ≥ 1) servers. © 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 47: 240–258, 2000     

非线性干扰观测器的高超声速飞行器自适应反演控制

针对高超声速飞行器参数不确定弹性体模型,提出了一种基于非线性干扰观测器的自适应反演控制器设计方法。将曲线拟合模型表示为严格反馈形式,采用反演方法设计控制器。采用动态面方法获取虚拟控制量的导数,避免了传统反演控制"微分项膨胀"问题。为了增强控制器的鲁棒性,基于二阶跟踪-微分器设计了一种新型非线性干扰观测器,以此对模型不确定项进行自适应估计和补偿。仿真结果表明,控制器对模型不确定性和气动弹性影响具有强鲁棒性,且能实现对速度和高度参考指令的稳定跟踪。     

一种新的Kronecker扩频码在盲多用户检测中的应用

当直接序列(DS-CDMA)系统中的多址干扰非常强时,自适应的盲多用户检测的性能将会严重下降.为了解决这一问题,一般的做法是增加系统的扩频增益,但是其取得的效果是有限的.本文将一种新的克罗内克(Kronecker)扩频序列应用到盲多用户检测中,该序列通过普通的扩频序列对自身作Kronecker乘积而生成.理论分析和仿真...     

基于RLS算法的自适应逆控制系统的研究

提出了一种基于RLS算法的自适应逆控制系统,并对最小相位对象和非最小相位对象分别用此系统建模,进行仿真研究.仿真结果表明,基于RLS算法的自适应逆控制系统的收敛速度快,抗干扰性能好,而且得到的稳态误差较小.     

基于不确定性理论的研制技术风险评估方法研究

分析了装备研制技术风险的含义,根据技术风险的特点建立了评价技术风险的指标体系。在技术风险度量中引入不确定性理论的概念,并建立了基于不确定性的技术风险的度量方法,对综合技术风险进行评价。最后通过实例验证了综合评价方法的可用性。     

陆军诸兵种合同作战兰切斯特方程的弹药消耗预测研究

描述了诸兵种合同作战的兰切斯特方程及其矩阵解,提出了一种通过兵力损耗换算弹药损耗的新思路,分析和确定了用该方法预测弹药消耗的相关参数,最后运用Matlab进行仿真计算,预测出了武器装备战损情况和弹药消耗情况。     

基于衰减记忆n次新息的目标机动检测和排飞点

提出了一种基于衰减记忆n次新息对目标进行机动检测和排飞点的算法.实际应用表明,该算法有效降低了目标机动检测的虚警概率和漏警概率,取得了较好效果.